Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
MID
2 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 1
LEI
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BBU
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1929 |
LEI
4 - 1
MUD
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
NEW
4 - 1
MUD
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1929 |
HUR
3 - 0
LIV
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
LIV
3 - 1
WHU
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
LIV
0 - 3
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1929 |
LIV
3 - 0
HUR
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
MID
5 - 0
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |