Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
LEE
3 - 2
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 2
MUD
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1928 |
ASV
0 - 0
MUD
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
LEI
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
MUD
6 - 1
LIV
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1928 |
SHE
1 - 3
LIV
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
LIV
6 - 3
LEI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 2
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 1
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
LIV
3 - 0
BCF
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |