Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
ARS
0 - 1
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 3
SHE
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
BCF
4 - 3
MUD
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 1
BOL
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
LIV
2 - 0
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 1
LEI
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 0
LIV
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
LIV
0 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
HUR
2 - 4
LIV
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |