Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 1
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 1
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
BRA
2 - 1
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 1
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
59%
21%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 1
LIV
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
MID
3 - 1
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
LIV
4 - 0
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |