Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 1
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 0
PNE
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
BUR
1 - 2
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 1
TOT
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
MUD
4 - 1
OLD
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
LIV
0 - 3
OLD
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
SHW
4 - 1
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
LIV
0 - 0
WBA
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |