Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
ASV
4 - 2
MUD
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
SUN
3 - 1
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
MUD
2 - 1
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
MID
3 - 2
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
MUD
2 - 0
TOT
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOT
73%
15%
11%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
MID
3 - 4
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
LIV
4 - 1
TOT
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
DER
4 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
LIV
4 - 1
BBU
46%
24%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |