Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
MUD
6 - 3
MID
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1908 |
MUD
2 - 1
BCF
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 3
MUD
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1908 |
MUD
4 - 0
QPR
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
LIV
4 - 0
BRA
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1908 |
SHE
0 - 2
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
LIV
3 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |