Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
1 - 4
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
3 - 0
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
MID
2 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
5 - 0
SHW
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
NTT
3 - 1
LIV
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 2
SHE
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 4
MID
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 4
BRI
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |