Manchester United vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
HUR
1 - 1
MUD
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1939 |
MUD
0 - 2
EVE
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
WOL
3 - 0
MUD
79%
13%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
SUN
5 - 2
MUD
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
LEE
1 - 0
BPO
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
BRE
0 - 1
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
LEE
4 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 0
LEE
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |