Manchester United vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
7 - 0
MUD
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
BOL
3 - 1
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
LEE
5 - 0
MUD
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 1
DER
36%
24%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
OPA
1 - 1
LEE
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
LEE
3 - 1
BIR
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
BIR
0 - 1
LEE
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
LEE
5 - 0
MUD
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 3
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |