Manchester United vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 4
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
SHW
7 - 2
MUD
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
LEE
5 - 2
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
BBU
2 - 1
LEE
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
LEE
1 - 2
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEE
63%
19%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
LEE
1 - 3
WHU
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |