Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Manchester United vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
WIM
1 - 1
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
MUD
3 - 1
EVE
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
INT
1 - 1
MUD
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
27%
24%
50%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
CHL
0 - 2
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
EMP
1 - 0
JUV
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
JUV
1 - 1
ROM
61%
22%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
OLP
1 - 1
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
JUV
2 - 1
UDI
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 2
JUV
35%
27%
39%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |