Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Manchester United vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 1
SOU
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
COV
0 - 1
MUD
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
MUD
1 - 0
FUL
81%
13%
5%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
NTT
1 - 8
MUD
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
INT
0 - 0
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
61%
21%
18%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
INT
0 - 2
PAR
58%
22%
19%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
PRG
2 - 1
INT
26%
27%
47%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
INT
5 - 1
EMP
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |