EFL Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Manchester United vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MUD
4 - 0
REA
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
WHU
0 - 2
MUD
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
MUD
2 - 1
MID
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
MUD
3 - 1
SUN
68%
21%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
WBA
0 - 2
MUD
24%
24%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HUL
2 - 0
SWA
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
WBA
3 - 1
HUL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
HUL
2 - 2
EVE
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
HUL
0 - 3
MAC
9%
18%
74%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
WHU
1 - 0
HUL
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |