Manchester United vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
CHA
2 - 0
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1939 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1939 |
MUD
4 - 0
GRI
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1939 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
0 - 0
MUD
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
GRI
2 - 0
PNE
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1939 |
GRI
0 - 0
WOL
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1939 |
MUD
4 - 0
GRI
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1939 |
GRI
3 - 0
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
LEI
0 - 2
GRI
51%
22%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |