Manchester United vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1929 |
SHE
3 - 1
MUD
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 3
MAC
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
WHU
2 - 1
MUD
60%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 2
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
MID
2 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
GRI
2 - 2
WHU
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
LIV
2 - 0
GRI
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1929 |
GRI
4 - 2
HUR
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
GRI
0 - 3
MID
41%
22%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
BBU
4 - 1
GRI
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |