Manchester United vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
BPO
2 - 0
MUD
38%
22%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
SHW
5 - 1
MUD
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
NEW
1 - 1
MUD
41%
21%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
1 - 3
MUD
40%
22%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
FUL
0 - 0
TOT
31%
23%
46%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
WHU
1 - 2
FUL
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
FUL
2 - 2
BOL
56%
21%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 0
FUL
59%
20%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |