FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 7-5
Manchester United vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
BUR
3 - 0
MUD
29%
23%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
MUD
0 - 4
WBA
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 0
WBA
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
WBA
2 - 2
MUD
34%
22%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 1
NTT
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
DON
1 - 6
FUL
35%
23%
42%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1958 |
LEY
1 - 3
FUL
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
FUL
3 - 1
CHA
52%
21%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
FUL
3 - 1
BRO
69%
16%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
FUL
6 - 0
GRI
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |