Champions League Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Manchester United vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
SHE
3 - 1
MUD
28%
25%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1966 |
PAR
2 - 0
MUD
38%
23%
39%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
MUD
1 - 2
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1966 |
ASV
1 - 1
MUD
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
MUD
3 - 1
PNE
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1966 |
PAR
2 - 0
MUD
38%
23%
39%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
PAR
5 - 0
SPA
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
SPA
4 - 1
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1965 |
PAR
3 - 0
BRE
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |