Champions League Last 16
Global 2-3
Manchester United vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MUD
2 - 1
FUL
80%
14%
7%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
FUL
1 - 1
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
45%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MUD
1 - 1
LEE
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MUD
4 - 2
MAC
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
FCP
4 - 1
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
17%
24%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |