FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-0
Manchester United vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 0
TOT
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MID
0 - 2
MUD
23%
25%
52%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
18%
25%
57%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
MUD
2 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
MUD
5 - 2
CRY
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
HER
1 - 2
EXE
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
TAM
1 - 2
EXE
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
EXE
4 - 0
HER
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
EXE
3 - 1
SCA
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
STE
3 - 2
EXE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |