Manchester United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
EVE
4 - 0
MUD
35%
22%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
MUD
1 - 3
BBU
72%
16%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
MUD
5 - 0
EVE
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
ARS
5 - 2
MUD
39%
22%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
MUD
5 - 3
WHU
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
EVE
3 - 1
LEI
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
EVE
4 - 0
MUD
35%
22%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
TOT
2 - 0
EVE
74%
15%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
MUD
5 - 0
EVE
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
EVE
1 - 0
LEE
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |