Manchester United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
ARS
5 - 2
MUD
39%
22%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
MUD
5 - 3
WHU
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
MUD
1 - 0
BBU
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1960 |
WHU
2 - 1
MUD
37%
21%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
LUT
2 - 3
MUD
26%
22%
53%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
EVE
1 - 0
LEE
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
BPO
0 - 0
EVE
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
LEI
3 - 3
EVE
58%
20%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1960 |
EVE
4 - 0
BPO
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
EVE
2 - 1
TOT
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |