Manchester United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
1 - 0
HUR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 2
SHW
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
BUR
4 - 0
MUD
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
DER
1 - 1
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
EVE
3 - 0
BUR
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
EVE
2 - 4
GRI
69%
17%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
LEI
5 - 4
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
EVE
2 - 4
BIR
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
EVE
1 - 2
WHU
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |