Manchester United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
MUD
2 - 3
WBA
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
EVE
5 - 0
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
MUD
3 - 0
DER
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
DER
1 - 1
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 1
BBU
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
NEW
3 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
EVE
5 - 0
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 1
EVE
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1921 |
EVE
0 - 0
TOT
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |