Manchester United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
4 - 2
NTT
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
BBU
1 - 0
MUD
49%
23%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
BRA
1 - 0
MUD
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
EVE
5 - 0
NOT
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
PNE
0 - 2
EVE
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 5
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 0
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |