Intercontinental Final
Global 1-2
Manchester United vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1968 |
TOT
2 - 2
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
MUD
7 - 1
WAT
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
MUD
50%
22%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
EST
0 - 3
COL
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1968 |
HUR
1 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
MUD
50%
22%
29%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
CAH
1 - 0
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
IRV
82%
12%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |