Champions League Last 16
Global 3-1
Manchester United vs FK Dukla Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1957 |
MUD
2 - 1
SHW
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1957 |
PNE
1 - 1
MUD
39%
22%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
MUD
1 - 0
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
WBA
4 - 3
MUD
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 0
ASV
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |