Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 7-2
Manchester United vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
MUD
7 - 0
ASV
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
WOL
2 - 4
MUD
37%
23%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
MUD
1 - 0
SUN
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
0 - 0
MUD
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
CHL
0 - 2
MUD
45%
23%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
DJU
4 - 1
GÖT
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
DEG
1 - 2
DJU
39%
23%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
HEL
0 - 1
DJU
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
DJU
5 - 4
NOR
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ORE
2 - 0
DJU
26%
25%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |