Manchester United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
0 - 0
MUD
29%
28%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
MUD
2 - 0
LUT
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
MUD
0 - 1
NTT
52%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
WHU
1 - 1
DER
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
DER
1 - 0
COV
45%
28%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
LIV
1 - 0
DER
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
DER
0 - 2
NTT
26%
28%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
MID
0 - 1
DER
45%
28%
28%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |