Manchester United vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
EVE
0 - 1
MUD
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
MUD
2 - 1
IPS
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
MUD
1 - 1
NTT
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
ASV
3 - 3
MUD
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
SOU
1 - 0
MUD
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
CRY
0 - 1
LEE
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
LEI
1 - 1
CRY
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
CRY
0 - 1
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
WBA
1 - 0
CRY
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
CRY
2 - 3
EVE
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |