Manchester United vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1991 |
MUD
1 - 1
ATM
52%
27%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
MUD
2 - 0
SHE
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
MUD
3 - 1
OPA
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
SHW
3 - 2
MUD
33%
27%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1991 |
APO
0 - 2
CRV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
CRV
3 - 1
APO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
POR
0 - 4
CRV
8%
18%
74%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1991 |
CRV
4 - 0
POR
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1991 |
CRV
0 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |