Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Manchester United vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
LEE
1 - 1
MUD
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 2
MUD
40%
22%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
LUT
2 - 2
MUD
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 0
LUT
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 0
LEI
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
CRV
2 - 1
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 2
CRV
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
CRV
9 - 1
STD
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 13 | 66 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1957 |
STD
0 - 5
CRV
31%
21%
48%
|
79 | 13 | 66 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
FIO
0 - 0
CRV
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |