Manchester United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1901 |
MUD
1 - 0
GRI
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1901 |
BAR
6 - 2
MUD
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 1901 |
BIR
1 - 0
MUD
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1901 |
LIN
2 - 0
MUD
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1901 |
MUD
3 - 1
STO
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1901 |
CHE
1 - 1
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1901 |
LIN
2 - 0
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1901 |
CHE
2 - 0
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1901 |
GAI
2 - 3
CHE
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1901 |
CHE
1 - 0
LEI
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |