Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SEV
0 - 0
MUD
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 2
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
MUD
21%
24%
56%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MUD
2 - 0
HUR
79%
16%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
TOT
2 - 0
MUD
42%
25%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
CHL
1 - 1
FCB
23%
23%
55%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
CHL
4 - 0
HUL
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
CHL
3 - 0
WBA
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
4 - 1
CHL
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CHL
0 - 3
BOU
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |