Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
WIG
0 - 2
MUD
11%
21%
68%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MUD
4 - 1
WHU
78%
15%
6%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 0
FCB
57%
23%
20%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CHL
2 - 1
MUD
43%
26%
32%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 0
MUD
38%
26%
36%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
7%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHL
20%
27%
53%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
CHL
3 - 2
LIV
61%
23%
17%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CHL
2 - 1
MUD
43%
26%
32%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
45%
27%
28%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |