Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1972 |
MUD
1 - 1
LEI
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1972 |
EVE
2 - 0
MUD
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1972 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1972 |
MUD
1 - 2
IPS
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1972 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
57%
26%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1972 |
DER
1 - 2
CHL
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1972 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHL
25%
29%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1972 |
CHL
4 - 0
LEE
40%
28%
33%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |