Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1972 |
MUD
1 - 3
WOL
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1972 |
WHU
3 - 0
MUD
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1971 |
MUD
2 - 2
COV
71%
19%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1971 |
IPS
0 - 0
MUD
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1971 |
STO
1 - 1
MUD
28%
25%
46%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1972 |
CHL
2 - 2
HUR
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1972 |
TOT
2 - 2
CHL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1972 |
DER
1 - 0
CHL
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1971 |
CHL
2 - 0
IPS
73%
17%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1971 |
CHL
3 - 2
TOT
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |