Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
MUD
0 - 2
TOT
33%
23%
44%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1963 |
BBU
2 - 2
MUD
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
MUD
1 - 1
BPO
69%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
FUL
0 - 1
MUD
39%
22%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1962 |
WBA
3 - 0
MUD
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
MID
1 - 0
CHL
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1963 |
CHL
1 - 2
HUR
70%
17%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
CAR
1 - 0
CHL
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1963 |
SWA
2 - 0
CHL
35%
24%
42%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
LUT
0 - 2
CHL
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |