Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
52%
19%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
BBU
1 - 2
MUD
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
FUL
4 - 4
MUD
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
MUD
1 - 0
PNE
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
CAR
3 - 0
MUD
26%
21%
53%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
52%
19%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
2 - 4
ASV
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1960 |
OPA
1 - 0
CHL
38%
22%
39%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHL
37%
24%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
7 - 1
WBA
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |