Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
07 Dec. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 3
MUD
31%
22%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
04 Dec. 1957 |
DUK
1 - 0
MUD
30%
22%
48%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
30 Nov. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 4
TOT
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
23 Nov. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
27%
22%
51%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
20 Nov. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 0
DUK
82%
12%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
07 Dec. 1957 |
CHL
2 - 1
LEE
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
30 Nov. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 3
CHL
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
23 Nov. 1957 |
CHL
4 - 0
LEI
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
16 Nov. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 2
CHL
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
09 Nov. 1957 |
CHL
1 - 3
LUT
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |