Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
6 - 1
ARS
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
3 - 0
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
BPO
2 - 2
MUD
41%
25%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
6 - 1
BUR
77%
15%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
4 - 0
LIV
71%
17%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1952 |
DER
1 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
0 - 2
TOT
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
3 - 0
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
4 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |