Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
OPA
2 - 1
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1936 |
BRE
4 - 0
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1936 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1936 |
PNE
3 - 1
MUD
59%
20%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1936 |
MUD
1 - 1
SHW
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHW
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1936 |
PNE
1 - 0
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 1
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1936 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHL
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1936 |
CHL
3 - 0
WBA
50%
22%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |