Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
2 - 1
MUD
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 2
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 0
CHL
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHE
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
CHL
1 - 0
OLD
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
5 - 2
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
SHE
3 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |