Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 4
MUD
38%
24%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
MUD
0 - 0
OLD
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 3
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
MUD
4 - 0
SHE
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 1
MUD
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 4
MUD
38%
24%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 0
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
CHL
3 - 1
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |