Manchester United vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
TOT
2 - 2
MUD
75%
14%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1962 |
MUD
2 - 0
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
MUD
0 - 1
BPO
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1961 |
MUD
6 - 3
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
MUD
1 - 2
WHU
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOT
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1961 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1961 |
BPO
3 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
CAR
1 - 1
BBU
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |