Manchester United vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1954 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1954 |
MUD
3 - 1
HUR
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1954 |
ASV
2 - 2
MUD
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1954 |
MUD
1 - 0
WOL
55%
21%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1954 |
SUN
0 - 2
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
46%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1954 |
CHA
3 - 2
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1954 |
CAR
1 - 0
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1954 |
TOT
0 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1954 |
CAR
3 - 2
OPA
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |