Manchester United vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
CHA
2 - 2
MUD
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
SHW
0 - 0
MUD
39%
23%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1953 |
MUD
3 - 2
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1953 |
BUR
2 - 1
MUD
35%
25%
41%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
MUD
5 - 2
PNE
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
CAR
3 - 3
CHL
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1953 |
BPO
0 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1953 |
CAR
2 - 0
DER
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1953 |
CAR
1 - 0
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |