Manchester United vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
EVE
5 - 2
MUD
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
LEI
1 - 0
MUD
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1927 |
MUD
3 - 0
TOT
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1927 |
BBU
3 - 0
MUD
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1927 |
HUR
4 - 2
MUD
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 1
COR
82%
12%
6%
|
82 | 8 | 74 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 1
TOT
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
HUR
8 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1927 |
CAR
3 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 3
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |