Manchester United vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
SHE
2 - 0
MUD
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
5 - 1
SUN
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1926 |
BIR
2 - 1
MUD
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 1
MUD
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
BBU
7 - 0
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
NOT
2 - 4
CAR
37%
28%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
SHE
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |